The NFL is back with Bills vs. Dolphins on Thursday Night Football and you can get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses or $150 in bonus bets if your first bet of $10 or more wins with BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET and the Bills are 12.5-point favorites in the latest Week 3 NFL odds from MGM Sportsbook. With Buffalo looking dominant and Miami struggling early, Bills -12.5 is one of the SportsLine Projection Model's top picks for Thursday.
Before locking in your Thursday NFL, MLB or UCL picks on your favorite betting sites like BetMGM Sportsbook, be sure to check out the rest of the top NFL betting picks and other picks from SportsLine's proven computer model and experts. Click here to get the newest BetMGM promo code and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters Week 26 of the 2025 MLB season a profitable 34-27 on top-rated MLB money-line picks. It is also up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks its since inception. The model went 37-17 on top-rated picks in 2024. Anybody following its NFL and MLB predictions at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.
Best Thursday NFL, MLB and UCL picks at BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Bills -12.5 vs. Dolphins (-110)
- Cubs +105 money line vs. Reds (+105)
- Man City 90-minute money line vs. Napoli (-150)
Combining the model's three picks into a Thursday NFL, UCL and MLB parlay at BetMGM would result in a payout of +552 (risk $100 to win $552). Bet it at BetMGM here:
Man City 90-minute money line vs. Napoli (-150)
"Conte will make life difficult for Guardiola on Thursday, as Napoli will be disciplined, compact, and dangerous on the counterattack," SportsLine soccer expert Martin Green said. "The midfield battle will be fascinating, with Rodri, Reijnders, and Phil Foden going up against De Bruyne, McTominay, and André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, but it's one that City should ultimately win"
Cubs money line vs. Reds (+105)
The Reds will certainly be the hungrier team as they chase the Mets in the NL Wild Card race and Hunter Greene has generally been good (3.07 ERA) this season. However, he has given up six home runs in his last five starts and is coming off his worst start of the season, surrendering five earned runs and two homers in 2 1/3 innings against the Athletics on Sept. 13. Meanwhile, the Cubs have ripped off four wins in a row and have now won seven of eight to solidify their status as a playoff team. Chicago wins in 53% of simulations.
Bills -12.5 vs. Dolphins (-110)
Josh Allen spearheaded a comeback from 15 down in Week 1 against the Ravens and then didn't need to do much of anything in a 30-10 win over the Jets last week. Now he'll take on a Dolphins squad that he has generally embarrassed over the years, throwing for at least two touchdowns in 13 of 14 meetings while going 12-2 as a starter against Miami. His 37 touchdowns against the Dolphins are 18 more than he's thrown against any other team and his 3,737 passing yards against them are 640 more than he's had against anybody. Buffalo covers in 57% of simulations.
Want more NFL picks for Thursday, September 18?
You've seen the model's Thursday NFL best bets. Now, get against the spread, total and money-line picks for NFL for the rest of the week, all from the model that's simulated every game 10,000 times.
Also at SportsLine:
You can also see Thursday NFL picks from SportsLine handicapper Matt Severance, who is 6-1 (+426.5) over his last seven NFL player prop picks. He's already locked an NFL prop pick for tonight. See his best bets right here.
