Every time I am asked to write a busts column, I like to start by making one thing clear. Just because I call someone a bust does not mean I think they suck at football. It doesn't even mean that I refuse to draft them this year, just that I think it is a bad idea to draft them at their current ADP. Kyle Pitts is a great example. No, not this year. I love Pitts at ADP this year. But Pitts has been a bust more often than not at ADP. He is also fourth in receiving yards among tight ends since he entered the league.

So ADP matters a lot. But which ADP? Because in July, ADP can be all over the place depending on where you draft. For most of the busts in this article, I am using consensus ADP, but it is really important when you get ready to draft that you consider the site you are drafting on. For example, there are three players who I would call busts based on CBS ADP, but I would be less concerned about drafting them at their current consensus ADP. On some sites, I might even target them. Let's start with those guys.

Bucky Irving currently has an ADP of 44 on CBS as RB21. In the consensus ADP, he's going at pick 60. I have him ranked 62nd overall. Irving had a miserable year in 2025. He battled a shoulder injury, which he has continued to manage this offseason, and his effectiveness as a rusher fell off a cliff. He ranked behind Rachaad White and Sean Tucker in yards before contact and yards after contact. He also lost the short-yardage role to Tucker and did not receive one handoff inside the five-yard line. White has been replaced by Kenneth Gainwell, who caught 73 passes for Pittsburgh last year. There is a chance that Irving isn't the primary pass-catching back or the primary short-yardage back. That's why I can't draft him before Round 6.

Chuba Hubbard is the other running back I think is being drafted too high in CBS drafts. He's 68th in CBS ADP, 76th in consensus ADP, and 91st in my rankings. How you feel about Hubbard should be informed by how much you believe in Jonathon Brooks coming back from a second ACL tear. He's had nearly two years to do so, so I'm optimistic. If Brooks is 100%, the best-case scenario for Hubbard is a committee approach in Carolina, and there is a decent chance Brooks takes the lead in that committee. Even if Hubbard remains the 1A, I don't believe he has the upside in this offense to beat his CBS ADP by much. Unlike Irving, I see a non-zero chance that Hubbard becomes an afterthought and Brooks takes his job.

My final CBS only bust is Michael Wilson. His ADP on CBS is 76th overall. Consensus ADP has him at 91st. I rank him 105th. Wilson was spectacular last year with Jacoby Brissett after Marvin Harrison Jr. got hurt. But heading into 2026, I would expect Wilson to be third in targets behind Harrison and Trey McBride. When all three were on the field last year, Wilson was a distant third with a 15.8% target share. I also expect the pass volume in Arizona to shrink in 2026, which is why Wilson isn't my only Arizona bust.

Here are seven more busts from consensus ADP: